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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are a heavy favorite by 8 points.
  • While Kareem Hunt has garnered 34.8% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Kansas City's running game in this week's contest at 48.5%.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New Orleans's collection of DTs has been very bad this year, profiling as the worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 41.9% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to have the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a mere 54.0 per game on average).
  • The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Kareem Hunt's running effectiveness (3.33 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL since the start of last season (10th percentile among RBs).

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