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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Chiefs offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.02 seconds per snap.

In this week's game, Kareem Hunt is predicted by the predictive model to find himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs with 12.6 carries.

After comprising 32.0% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Kareem Hunt has had a larger role in the ground game this season, now sitting at 58.9%.

Kareem Hunt's 57.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season marks a substantial progression in his rushing ability over last season's 29.0 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs as the least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 35.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Kareem Hunt's running effectiveness (3.78 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (17th percentile among RBs).

Kareem Hunt profiles as one of the bottom running backs in the league at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a mere 2.62 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 14th percentile.

This year, the strong Philadelphia Eagles run defense has conceded a mere 102.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 4th-best in the NFL.

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