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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see just 132.5 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.6 per game on average).
  • Our trusted projections expect Kareem Hunt to notch 9.8 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among RBs.
  • Kareem Hunt has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (57.0) this year than he did last year (29.0).
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Buffalo's unit has been lousy this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 35.8% of their opportunities: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Our trusted projections expect Kareem Hunt to be much less involved in his offense's rushing attack in this game (41.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (59.5% in games he has played).
  • With an awful total of 3.81 adjusted yards per carry (19th percentile) this year, Kareem Hunt rates among the weakest running backs in the NFL at the position.
  • Kareem Hunt comes in as one of the worst RBs in the NFL at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 2.53 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 14th percentile.

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