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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Chiefs, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8.5 points.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 136.5 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.

The Chiefs have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.5 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Kareem Hunt has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (57.0) this year than he did last year (29.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Chiefs to be the 3rd-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 40.4% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

While Kareem Hunt has accounted for 60.4% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Kansas City's running game in this game at 41.2%.

Kareem Hunt's running effectiveness (3.73 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (14th percentile when it comes to RBs).

With an awful rate of 2.50 yards after contact (14th percentile) this year, Kareem Hunt rates among the least powerful running backs in football.

The Texans defense has had the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, surrendering just 4.16 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

More Kareem Hunt Player Props

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