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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Chiefs this year (a colossal 61.4 per game on average).

Kareem Hunt's 59.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year marks a noteworthy growth in his rushing ability over last year's 29.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 8th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 39.2% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.

Our trusted projections expect Kareem Hunt to be much less involved in his team's rushing attack this week (36.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (63.3% in games he has played).

Kareem Hunt's ground effectiveness (3.63 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (11th percentile among running backs).

Kareem Hunt ranks as one of the weakest running backs in the NFL at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.43 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 6th percentile.

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