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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite this week.
  • The model projects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 148.3 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Chiefs have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) usually lead to worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Kareem Hunt has run for many more adjusted yards per game (60.0) this year than he did last year (29.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 2nd-least run-oriented offense in football (33.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Chiefs.
  • While Kareem Hunt has been responsible for 65.2% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller part of Kansas City's running game this week at 28.3%.
  • With a dreadful record of 3.62 adjusted yards per carry (6th percentile) this year, Kareem Hunt stands among the bottom pure rushers in the NFL at the position.
  • With a terrible rate of 2.32 yards after contact (6th percentile) this year, Kareem Hunt has been among the easiest-to-tackle RBs in the NFL.
  • The Browns linebackers grade out as the best LB corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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