Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Chicago Bears · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Browns as the 9th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 44.5% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
The highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a colossal 66.2 per game on average).
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the league last year in run support.

Favors Under

Kareem Hunt's rushing effectiveness (3.32 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (5th percentile when it comes to RBs).
Kareem Hunt profiles as one of the worst RBs in the league at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 2.32 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.
This year, the fierce Bears run defense has surrendered a mere 85.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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