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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Browns as the 9th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 44.5% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a colossal 66.2 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the league last year in run support.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kareem Hunt's rushing effectiveness (3.32 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (5th percentile when it comes to RBs).
  • Kareem Hunt profiles as one of the worst RBs in the league at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 2.32 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.
  • This year, the fierce Bears run defense has surrendered a mere 85.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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