Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to run on 47.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.
The model projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 66.3 plays per game.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL last year at opening holes for rushers.

Favors Under

The Browns may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Joe Flacco.
With a very bad record of 3.36 adjusted yards per carry (7th percentile) this year, Kareem Hunt stands as one of the worst pure rushers in the league at the position.
Kareem Hunt grades out as one of the bottom running backs in football at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 2.39 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 7th percentile.
The opposing side have run for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 97.0 per game) versus the Jaguars defense this year.

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