Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Browns to run on 48.0% of their downs: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
The Browns have called the most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 66.9 plays per game.
The Cleveland O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL last year at blocking for rushers.
Opposing offenses have run for the most adjusted yards in the league (165 per game) vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year.
The Broncos safeties project as the 26th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
With a very bad rate of 3.26 adjusted yards per carry (7th percentile) this year, Kareem Hunt stands among the weakest pure rushers in the league at the position.
Kareem Hunt ranks as one of the worst RBs in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 2.43 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 15th percentile.

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