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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 10th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles project as the worst collection of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.
  • The Cleveland Browns have gone for it on 4th down 22.2% of the time since the start of last season (9th-most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.
  • The Cleveland Browns have incorporated motion in their offense on 46.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (7th-most in the league), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Kareem Hunt has been a much smaller piece of his team's rushing attack this year (26.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (37.5%).
  • Kareem Hunt has rushed for a lot fewer yards per game (30.0) this year than he did last year (46.0).
  • Kareem Hunt's ground efficiency has diminished this year, notching a mere 3.97 yards-per-carry compared to a 4.72 figure last year.

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