Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 5:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 10th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles project as the worst collection of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.
The Cleveland Browns have gone for it on 4th down 22.2% of the time since the start of last season (9th-most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns have incorporated motion in their offense on 46.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (7th-most in the league), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Kareem Hunt has been a much smaller piece of his team's rushing attack this year (26.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (37.5%).
Kareem Hunt has rushed for a lot fewer yards per game (30.0) this year than he did last year (46.0).
Kareem Hunt's ground efficiency has diminished this year, notching a mere 3.97 yards-per-carry compared to a 4.72 figure last year.