Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 46.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 3rd-fastest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.41 seconds per snap.
The Cleveland Browns have gone for it on 4th down 22.2% of the time since the start of last season (9th-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns have incorporated motion in their offense on 46.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Kareem Hunt has been a much smaller piece of his offense's running game this season (27.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (37.5%).
Kareem Hunt has run for significantly fewer yards per game (31.0) this season than he did last season (46.0).
The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 10th-best group of DEs in football this year with their run defense.
The Cleveland Browns have faced a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.