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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 48.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.5 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • The Cleveland Browns have gone for it on 4th down 22.2% of the time since the start of last season (9th-most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kareem Hunt to be much less involved in his offense's running game this week (19.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (29.3% in games he has played).
  • Kareem Hunt has run for a lot fewer yards per game (34.0) this season than he did last season (46.0).
  • Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-least yards in the NFL (just 82 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles rank as the 7th-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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