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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 4th-most run-heavy team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 43.7% run rate.
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the best in football this year at opening holes for runners.
  • The Cleveland Browns have gone for it on 4th down 22.2% of the time since the start of last season (9th-most in football), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.
  • The Cleveland Browns have used motion in their offense on 46.6% of their plays since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which can confuse the defense and bolster offensive production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Kareem Hunt's running effectiveness (3.98 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (22nd percentile among running backs).
  • Opposing squads have run for the 6th-least yards in the league (just 109 per game) against the Buffalo Bills defense this year.

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