Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 5:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 4th-most run-heavy team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 43.7% run rate.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the best in football this year at opening holes for runners.
The Cleveland Browns have gone for it on 4th down 22.2% of the time since the start of last season (9th-most in football), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns have used motion in their offense on 46.6% of their plays since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which can confuse the defense and bolster offensive production.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Kareem Hunt's running effectiveness (3.98 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (22nd percentile among running backs).
Opposing squads have run for the 6th-least yards in the league (just 109 per game) against the Buffalo Bills defense this year.

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