Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM EST

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Kareem Hunt has been on the field for 44.3% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, ranking him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
Kareem Hunt has generated 46.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in football among RBs (78th percentile).
Kareem Hunt's running efficiency (4.72 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (80th percentile among RBs).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Browns will be rolling with backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 4th-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.42 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Carolina Panthers defense has had the 10th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, giving up just 4.32 yards-per-carry.
The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.