Kareem Hunt Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

My Account Log Out

reorder

Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing TD

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Nov 1, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+274/-465).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -442 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -465.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 3rd-most run-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 49.8% red zone run rate.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
Kareem Hunt has rushed for 0.43 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest marks in the NFL among RBs (83rd percentile).
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Kareem Hunt to be a less important option in his offense's running game near the goal line this week (27.6% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (38.6% in games he has played).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-least touchdowns in football (0.43 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.
The Cleveland Browns have gone up against a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

More Kareem Hunt Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow