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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Kareem Hunt Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+236/-375).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -323 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -375.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the most run-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 48.8% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Kareem Hunt has garnered 41.7% of his team's red zone carries this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile among running backs.

The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the best in football since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-best DE corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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