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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

Kareem Hunt Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (64.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Kareem Hunt's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 70.9% to 100.0%.

The Raiders pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (97.6%) vs. running backs this year (97.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 9-point advantage, the Chiefs are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

At the moment, the 7th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Raiders, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.0 per game) this year.

Kareem Hunt's 58.1% snap rate this season conveys a substantial boost in his offensive workload over last season's 32.8% figure.

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