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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (64.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Kareem Hunt's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 70.9% to 100.0%.
  • Kareem Hunt's 9.2 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a noteworthy progression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 4.0 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 9-point advantage, the Chiefs are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • At the moment, the 7th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Raiders, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.0 per game) this year.
  • Kareem Hunt's 58.1% snap rate this season conveys a substantial boost in his offensive workload over last season's 32.8% figure.
  • As it relates to air yards, Kareem Hunt ranks in the measly 13th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, with just -2.0 per game.

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