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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 66.7% pass rate.

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

In regards to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are a heavy favorite by 8 points.

The model projects this game to have the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a mere 54.0 per game on average).

In regards to air yards, Kareem Hunt grades out in the measly 14th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, averaging just -2.0 per game.

With a feeble 73.5% Adjusted Catch% (20th percentile) since the start of last season, Kareem Hunt ranks among the worst possession receivers in the league among RBs.

More Kareem Hunt Player Props

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