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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Chiefs this year (a colossal 61.4 per game on average).

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.

Kareem Hunt has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this season (38.7% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (22.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.

Kareem Hunt has accumulated a measly -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 12th percentile among running backs.

This year, the tough Houston Texans defense has conceded a measly 77.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the best rate in football.

This year, the daunting Texans defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing running backs: a meager 5.0 yards.

The Texans defensive ends profile as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

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