Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 5:01 PM EST

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Browns have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.
Kareem Hunt has been a big part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 8.5% since the start of last season, which places him in the 76th percentile among RBs.
The Browns O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Kareem Hunt has been one of the most reliable receivers in football when it comes to RBs, hauling in an impressive 84.7% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Kareem Hunt has notched a meager -1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 21st percentile among RBs.
Kareem Hunt has been among the weakest running backs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging just 5.27 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 18th percentile.
When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been very good since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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