Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in football.
The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Kareem Hunt has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs, catching a stellar 86.3% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 90th percentile.
The Tennessee Titans linebackers rank as the 7th-worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Kareem Hunt has been among the weakest RBs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 4.51 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 15th percentile.