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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Browns.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Browns have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 65.9 plays per game.

Kareem Hunt's 7.93 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a noteable improvement in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 4.5% figure.

This year, the shaky New York Jets defense has conceded the 5th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing RBs: a whopping 7.63 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Browns are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

Kareem Hunt has totaled a mere -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 17th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Kareem Hunt's 5.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 12.4.

Kareem Hunt's 6.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year indicates a significant decline in his pass-catching skills over last year's 13.0 mark.

More Kareem Hunt Player Props

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