Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 3:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Joe Flacco.
The model projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 66.3 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in football.
The Browns offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Kareem Hunt has compiled a feeble -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 16th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Kareem Hunt's 5.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 12.4.
Kareem Hunt has compiled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (6.0) this year than he did last year (13.0).
Kareem Hunt's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 86.3% to 76.2%.

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