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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns have called the most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 66.9 plays per game.
  • The Cleveland O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Kareem Hunt's 10.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a significant progression in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 4.5% mark.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has conceded the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (43.0) to running backs this year.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has struggled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 8.02 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 52.0% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Denver Broncos, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.9 per game) this year.
  • Kareem Hunt's 24.0% Route% this year represents a material drop-off in his air attack utilization over last year's 41.2% mark.
  • When it comes to air yards, Kareem Hunt grades out in the paltry 11th percentile among RBs this year, with just -3.0 per game.

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