Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 9:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns have called the most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 66.9 plays per game.
The Cleveland O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Kareem Hunt's 10.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a significant progression in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 4.5% mark.
The Denver Broncos defense has conceded the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (43.0) to running backs this year.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has struggled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 8.02 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in football.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 52.0% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Denver Broncos, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.9 per game) this year.
Kareem Hunt's 24.0% Route% this year represents a material drop-off in his air attack utilization over last year's 41.2% mark.
When it comes to air yards, Kareem Hunt grades out in the paltry 11th percentile among RBs this year, with just -3.0 per game.

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