Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 132.9 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.
The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 66.7 plays per game.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.
Kareem Hunt's receiving efficiency has been refined this season, accumulating 6.37 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 5.21 rate last season.
This year, the porous Steelers defense has yielded the 4th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing RBs: a monstrous 9.12 YAC.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Kareem Hunt has gone out for fewer passes this season (21.0% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (41.2%).
As it relates to air yards, Kareem Hunt grades out in just the 17th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -2.0 per game.
Kareem Hunt's 8.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season signifies an impressive reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 13.0 figure.
Kareem Hunt's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 86.3% to 64.6%.

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