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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 26.81 seconds per play.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 9th-most in the league.
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Kareem Hunt's 6.3 adjusted yards per target this year shows a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 5.2 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Kareem Hunt's 19.5% Route Participation% this season conveys a substantial drop-off in his passing game usage over last season's 41.2% rate.
  • As it relates to air yards, Kareem Hunt ranks in the paltry 20th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -2.0 per game.
  • Kareem Hunt's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 86.3% to 64.1%.
  • This year, the tough Ravens pass defense has allowed the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing RBs: a measly 6.4 YAC.

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