Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+106/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.5 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in football.
Kareem Hunt has run a route on 46.2% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Kareem Hunt to accumulate 3.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 57.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Kareem Hunt has posted many fewer receiving yards per game (15.0) this year than he did last year (22.0).
Kareem Hunt's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this year, notching just 5.62 yards-per-target compared to a 7.15 rate last year.
Kareem Hunt's ability to pick up extra yardage has tailed off this year, notching a measly 4.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.09 mark last year.

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