Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+107/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 65.0 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
Kareem Hunt has been used more as a potential target this year (48.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (37.9%).
THE BLITZ projects Kareem Hunt to garner 3.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among RBs.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Kareem Hunt's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, totaling a mere 5.85 yards-per-target compared to a 7.15 rate last season.

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