Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kareem Hunt has gone out for more passes this season (48.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (37.9%).
THE BLITZ projects Kareem Hunt to total 3.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among RBs.
The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Kareem Hunt has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league among running backs, catching an impressive 91.7% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 89th percentile.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has given up the 3rd-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (51.0) vs. RBs this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 30.32 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Kareem Hunt's receiving efficiency has diminished this year, accumulating a mere 6.07 yards-per-target vs a 7.16 figure last year.
Kareem Hunt's ability to pick up extra yardage has worsened this season, averaging just 4.91 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.09 mark last season.

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