Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 3rd-fastest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.41 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Kareem Hunt has been a big part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 8.1% this year, which places him in the 76th percentile among running backs.
The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Kareem Hunt has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among running backs, hauling in a stellar 86.8% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
Kareem Hunt has accrued a puny -1.0 air yards per game this year: just 24th percentile among RBs.
Kareem Hunt has put up quite a few less receiving yards per game (14.0) this season than he did last season (22.0).
Kareem Hunt's receiving effectiveness has worsened this season, notching just 5.71 yards-per-target compared to a 7.12 rate last season.

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