Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 6:06 PM EST

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the most total plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 62.1 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
Kareem Hunt has run a route on 43.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 76th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Kareem Hunt has notched a measly -1.0 air yards per game this year: just 24th percentile among running backs.
Kareem Hunt has put up many fewer receiving yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (22.0).
Kareem Hunt's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this season, compiling a measly 6.34 yards-per-target compared to a 7.15 figure last season.

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