Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 6:06 PM EST

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-122/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Kareem Hunt has run a route on 44.9% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Kareem Hunt has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league among RBs, completing a stellar 87.9% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 88th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 56.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
Kareem Hunt has notched a lot fewer receiving yards per game (15.0) this year than he did last year (22.0).
Kareem Hunt's receiving effectiveness has declined this year, notching a mere 5.90 yards-per-target vs a 7.15 mark last year.
Kareem Hunt's skills in picking up extra yardage have worsened this season, totaling a measly 5.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.09 figure last season.

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