Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-108/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.4 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Kareem Hunt has run a route on 47.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Kareem Hunt to earn 3.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 80th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Kareem Hunt has put up significantly fewer receiving yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (22.0).
Kareem Hunt's receiving effectiveness has declined this year, averaging just 5.71 yards-per-target compared to a 7.15 rate last year.
Kareem Hunt's skills in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, notching a measly 4.95 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.09 mark last season.

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