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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-108/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Cleveland Browns have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.4 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Kareem Hunt has run a route on 47.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kareem Hunt to earn 3.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 80th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Kareem Hunt has put up significantly fewer receiving yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (22.0).
  • Kareem Hunt's receiving effectiveness has declined this year, averaging just 5.71 yards-per-target compared to a 7.15 rate last year.
  • Kareem Hunt's skills in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, notching a measly 4.95 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.09 mark last season.

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