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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 9-point advantage, the Chiefs are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • The model projects Kareem Hunt to accumulate 16.3 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • After making up 33.2% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Kareem Hunt has been called on more in the running game this year, currently sitting at 66.3%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 35.2% run rate.
  • At the moment, the 7th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends profile as the best group of DEs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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