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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Chiefs this year (a colossal 61.4 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 8th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 39.2% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.
  • Our trusted projections expect Kareem Hunt to be much less involved in his team's rushing attack this week (36.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (63.3% in games he has played).
  • The Texans linebackers grade out as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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