Kareem Hunt Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Carries

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 2nd-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Kareem Hunt has played on 45.9% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile among RBs.
The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the best in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
The New York Jets linebackers project as the worst collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Cleveland Browns will be forced to start backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in higher pass volume, lower running volume, and improved pass game efficiency when facing better conditions this week.
The Cleveland Browns have gone up against a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have stacked the box vs. opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.