Kareem Hunt Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Carries

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +113 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-most run-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 43.5% run rate.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.4 plays per game.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year at opening holes for runners.
The Miami Dolphins defensive tackles grade out as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.
The Cleveland Browns have elected to go for it on 4th down 22.2% of the time since the start of last season (9th-most in football), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Cleveland Browns have faced a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Miami Dolphins have stacked the box vs. opponents on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.