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Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions

Kalif Raymond Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 61.2 plays per game.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

With an outstanding 79.4% Adjusted Completion Rate (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Kalif Raymond has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL among WRs.

The Cardinals pass defense has been gouged for the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.4%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (69.4%).

The Arizona Cardinals safeties grade out as the 4th-worst unit in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Lions being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.

The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Cardinals, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 29.2 per game) since the start of last season.

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