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Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos

Kalif Raymond Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-143/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Detroit O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.

With an outstanding 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (89th percentile) this year, Kalif Raymond stands among the most reliable receivers in football when it comes to wide receivers.

The Broncos linebackers profile as the worst collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.

The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Kalif Raymond has been less involved as a potential target this year (37.0% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (51.7%).

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