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Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Kalif Raymond Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Kalif Raymond to be much more involved in his offense's passing offense this week (18.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.6% in games he has played).

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (71.5%) versus wideouts this year (71.5%).

The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the league.

The Detroit Lions offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

The Detroit Lions offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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