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Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Kalif Raymond Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+132/-172).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -172.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

Kalif Raymond's possession skills have improved this season, with his Completion% rising from 67.5% to 77.8%.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Completion% in the league (69.7%) vs. wideouts this year (69.7%).

The Green Bay Packers defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season.

The Detroit Lions have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in football.

Kalif Raymond has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (52.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (77.3%).

The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

The Green Bay Packers cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best CB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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