Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Kalif Raymond

NFL · Player Props

Kalif Raymond

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 31, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Lions have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.1 plays per game.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Lions grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
Kalif Raymond's 82.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a substantial improvement in his receiving ability over last season's 76.7% mark.
Kalif Raymond's pass-catching efficiency has improved this season, notching 11.06 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 9.65 rate last season.

Favors Under

The Lions are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The model projects the Detroit Lions to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.5 plays on offense called: the lowest number among all games this week.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Las Vegas Raiders, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a mere 33.4 per game) this year.
Kalif Raymond has been used less as a potential target this year (39.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (51.7%).

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