Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Kalif Raymond

NFL · Player Props

Kalif Raymond

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Lions to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.4 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Detroit Lions grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
With a fantastic 75.5% Adjusted Catch% (82nd percentile) this year, Kalif Raymond has been as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to WRs.
Kalif Raymond's 11.5 adjusted yards per target this year shows a an impressive growth in his receiving ability over last year's 9.7 rate.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is suggested by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Lions to pass on 54.7% of their plays: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Kalif Raymond has been less involved as a potential target this year (41.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (51.7%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.8%) versus wideouts this year (61.8%).
When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's LB corps has been very good this year, grading out as the 7th-best in football.

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