Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Kalif Raymond

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Kalif Raymond has been among the most reliable receivers in football, catching a terrific 76.3% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 94th percentile among WRs.
Kalif Raymond has been among the most effective pass-catchers in football, averaging a stellar 9.93 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 96th percentile among WRs.
Kalif Raymond has been among the top wideouts in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging an impressive 5.64 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 85th percentile.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.61 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 9th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 5th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 57.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense to be the 8th-worst paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.94 seconds per play.
The Detroit Lions offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Atlanta Falcons safeties rank as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.