Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Kalif Raymond

NFL · Player Props

Kalif Raymond

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Detroit O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.
With an outstanding 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (89th percentile) this year, Kalif Raymond stands among the most reliable receivers in football when it comes to wide receivers.
Kalif Raymond's pass-catching efficiency has been refined this year, averaging 10.73 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 9.65 rate last year.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.
The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.
The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Kalif Raymond has been less involved as a potential target this year (37.0% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (51.7%).
After totaling 37.0 air yards per game last year, Kalif Raymond has posted significant losses this year, now boasting 23.0 per game.

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