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Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Lions have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.9 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Lions offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • With an impressive 77.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (87th percentile) this year, Kalif Raymond places as one of the most reliable receivers in football among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 4 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.4% pass rate.
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Saints, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 34.7 per game) this year.
  • Kalif Raymond has been less involved as a potential target this season (37.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (51.7%).
  • After accumulating 37.0 air yards per game last year, Kalif Raymond has seen a big downtick this year, now averaging 25.0 per game.

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