Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Kalif Raymond

NFL · Player Props

Kalif Raymond

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 3:41 AM EST

Analysis

Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Lions have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.9 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Lions offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.
With an impressive 77.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (87th percentile) this year, Kalif Raymond places as one of the most reliable receivers in football among wideouts.

Favors Under

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 4 points.
The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.4% pass rate.
Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Saints, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 34.7 per game) this year.
Kalif Raymond has been less involved as a potential target this season (37.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (51.7%).
After accumulating 37.0 air yards per game last year, Kalif Raymond has seen a big downtick this year, now averaging 25.0 per game.

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