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Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (+110/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kalif Raymond to be much more involved in his offense's passing offense this week (18.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.6% in games he has played).
  • Kalif Raymond's receiving effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, totaling 9.79 yards-per-target vs a measly 7.63 figure last year.
  • Kalif Raymond's skills in grinding out extra yardage have been refined this year, totaling 7.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 4.04 figure last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the league.
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • The Green Bay Packers defense has conceded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 132.0) to wide receivers this year.

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