Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Kalif Raymond

NFL · Player Props

Kalif Raymond

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (+110/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Kalif Raymond to be much more involved in his offense's passing offense this week (18.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.6% in games he has played).
Kalif Raymond's receiving effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, totaling 9.79 yards-per-target vs a measly 7.63 figure last year.
Kalif Raymond's skills in grinding out extra yardage have been refined this year, totaling 7.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 4.04 figure last year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the league.
The Detroit Lions offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Green Bay Packers defense has conceded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 132.0) to wide receivers this year.

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