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Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.70 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Kalif Raymond's pass-game effectiveness has improved this year, totaling 8.67 yards-per-target vs a mere 7.63 rate last year.
  • Kalif Raymond's skills in generating extra yardage have gotten better this year, compiling 8.64 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 4.04 rate last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
  • Kalif Raymond has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (47.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (77.6%).
  • Kalif Raymond has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (39.0 per game) than he did last year (45.0 per game).
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their QB a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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