Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Lions are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.7 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in football.
Favors Under
Kalif Raymond has gone out for fewer passes this season (40.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (77.6%).
Kalif Raymond has put up quite a few less air yards this season (37.0 per game) than he did last season (45.0 per game).
The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Kalif Raymond's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 67.5% to 61.4%.
Kalif Raymond's receiving efficiency has tailed off this season, notching a measly 6.27 yards-per-target compared to a 7.63 figure last season.